Axel Sola vs Tom Nolan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-1Record11-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach73"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1709 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Compton Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Axel SolaTom Nolan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Nolan61%
Axel Sola 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Nolan a 61% favorite over Axel Sola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Axel Sola's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.
Axel Sola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tom Nolan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Axel Sola finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tom Nolan 55%.
Axel Sola and Tom Nolan share 1 common opponent: Fares Ziam.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.