Ayaka Miura vs Magdalena Czaban
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record5-0-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
64.2"Reach-
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Academy Krakow
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayaka MiuraMagdalena Czaban
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magdalena Czaban79%
Ayaka Miura 21%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Magdalena Czaban a 79% favorite over Ayaka Miura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1624), separated by just 4 points.
Ayaka Miura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Magdalena Czaban enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ayaka Miura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Magdalena Czaban 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.