Ayaka Miura vs Melissa Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record8-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
64.2"Reach 66"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1627 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBonebreakers Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayaka MiuraMelissa Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayaka Miura52%
Melissa Martinez 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayaka Miura a 52% favorite over Melissa Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1609), separated by just 3 points.
Ayaka Miura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ayaka Miura finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Martinez 63%.
Melissa Martinez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.