Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayane Hirata vs Charlene Gellner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record1-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'2"
-ReachTBD
108 lbsWeight115 lbs
BurstTeamBay Area Fight Academy

What's at stake

Ayane Hirata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Charlene Gellner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ayane HirataNow 1492
If they win+19→ 1511
If they lose-29→ 1463
Charlene GellnerNow 1419
If they win+29→ 1448
If they lose-19→ 1400

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayane HirataCharlene Gellner
14001450150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (100%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayane Hirata72%
Charlene Gellner 28%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 72% favorite over Charlene Gellner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Ayane Hirata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1492 to 1419, a 73-point edge.

Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.