Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayane Hirata vs Gloria de Paula

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'5"
-Reach67"
108 lbsWeight116 lbs
BurstTeamFabiana Belai Academia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayane HirataNow 1494
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470
Gloria de PaulaNow 1494
If they win+16→ 1510
If they lose-16→ 1478

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
TBD
Strike defense
66%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.74
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Ayane HirataGloria de Paula
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayane Hirata84%
Gloria de Paula 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 84% favorite over Gloria de Paula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1494), separated by just 0 points.

Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gloria de Paula enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gloria de Paula 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.