Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayane Hirata vs Haidy Ahmed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record3-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'3"
-Reach-
108 lbsWeight116 lbs
BurstTeamTiger Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayane HirataNow 1494
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470
Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+24→ 1517
If they lose-24→ 1469

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayane HirataHaidy Ahmed
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayane Hirata66%
Haidy Ahmed 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 66% favorite over Haidy Ahmed in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1493), separated by just 1 points.

Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Haidy Ahmed 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.