Ayane Hirata vs Jamie Moyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
4'10"Height5'1"
-Reach35,0"
108 lbsWeight125 lbs
BurstTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1519
If they lose-23→ 1471
If they win+23→ 1527
If they lose-25→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayane HirataJamie Moyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayane Hirata70%
Jamie Moyle 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 70% favorite over Jamie Moyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Moyle's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1504), separated by just 10 points.
Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jamie Moyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Moyle 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.