Ayane Hirata vs Jodie Esquibel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'1"
-Reach64,0"
108 lbsWeight116 lbs
BurstTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1516
If they lose-24→ 1468
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayane HirataJodie Esquibel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayane Hirata69%
Jodie Esquibel 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 69% favorite over Jodie Esquibel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jodie Esquibel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1492 vs 1495), separated by just 3 points.
Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jodie Esquibel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jodie Esquibel 17%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.