Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayane Hirata vs Kailin Curran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'4"
-Reach37,0"
108 lbsWeight113 lbs
BurstTeamRVCA

What's at stake

Ayane Hirata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Kailin Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ayane HirataNow 1492
If they win+23→ 1515
If they lose-25→ 1467
Kailin CurranNow 1471
If they win+17→ 1488
If they lose-15→ 1456

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.75
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Ayane HirataKailin Curran
1450150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (25%)
Decision
5 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayane Hirata60%
Kailin Curran 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 60% favorite over Kailin Curran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ayane Hirata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1492 to 1471, a 21-point edge.

Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.