Ayane Hirata vs Kathryn Paprocki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record3-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'3"
-Reach36,0"
108 lbsWeight115 lbs
BurstTeamDCO MMA & FItness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1516
If they lose-24→ 1468
If they win+24→ 1518
If they lose-24→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayane HirataKathryn Paprocki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayane Hirata67%
Kathryn Paprocki 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 67% favorite over Kathryn Paprocki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kathryn Paprocki's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1492 vs 1494), separated by just 2 points.
Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kathryn Paprocki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kathryn Paprocki 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.