Ayane Hirata vs Laryssa Leila
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record2-3-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'4"
-Reach-
108 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Ayane Hirata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Laryssa Leila carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1515
If they lose-25→ 1467
If they win+25→ 1502
If they lose-23→ 1454
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ayane HirataLaryssa Leila
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Laryssa Leila55%
Ayane Hirata 45%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Laryssa Leila a 55% favorite over Ayane Hirata in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ayane Hirata's way (48%).
Ayane Hirata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1492 to 1477, a 15-point edge.
Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Laryssa Leila enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.