Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayane Hirata vs Ye Ji Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-4-0Record7-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
4'10"Height5'1"
-Reach59"
108 lbsWeight108 lbs
BurstTeamTeam aom

What's at stake

Ayane Hirata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ye Ji Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ayane HirataNow 1494
If they win+23→ 1517
If they lose-25→ 1469
Ye Ji LeeNow 1478
If they win+17→ 1495
If they lose-15→ 1463

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayane HirataYe Ji Lee
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (25%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ye Ji Lee66%
Ayane Hirata 34%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ye Ji Lee a 66% favorite over Ayane Hirata in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ayane Hirata's way (48%).

Ayane Hirata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1478, a 16-point edge.

Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayane Hirata finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ye Ji Lee 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.