Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayinda Octave vs Benny Orozco

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayinda OctaveNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Benny OrozcoNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayinda OctaveBenny Orozco
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Submission
5 (83%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ayinda Octave and Benny Orozco within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Benny Orozco 83%.

Ayinda Octave carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.