Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayinda Octave vs Dzhamal Mavliudov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'1"
71"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tauras Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1665 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayinda OctaveNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Dzhamal MavliudovNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1480 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayinda OctaveDzhamal Mavliudov
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (14%)
Submission
3 (50%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ayinda Octave and Dzhamal Mavliudov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.

Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Dzhamal Mavliudov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.