Ayinda Octave vs Patrick Ocheme
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
71"Reach76"
156 lbsWeight157 lbs
What's at stake
Patrick Ocheme is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ayinda Octave carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1626
If they lose-18→ 1578
If they win+12→ 1693
If they lose-20→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ayinda OctavePatrick Ocheme
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Ocheme64%
Ayinda Octave 36%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Ocheme a 64% favorite over Ayinda Octave in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Patrick Ocheme holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1596, a 85-point edge.
Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Patrick Ocheme enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Ocheme 67%.
Patrick Ocheme carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.