Ayinda Octave vs Saad Awad
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ayinda OctaveSaad Awad
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayinda Octave63%
Saad Awad 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayinda Octave a 63% favorite over Saad Awad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1596), separated by just 0 points.
Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Saad Awad 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.