Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayinda Octave vs Victor Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71"Reach70,0"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tauras Martial ArtsTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayinda OctaveNow 1596
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
Victor MartinezNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.66
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
80%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ayinda OctaveVictor Martinez
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ayinda Octave and Victor Martinez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.

Ayinda Octave enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Victor Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ayinda Octave finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Victor Martinez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.