Combat Edge Intelligence

Aysia Cortez vs Rafael Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record20-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
N/AReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Cortez Martial ArtsTeamSD Training System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aysia CortezNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524
Rafael DiasNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aysia CortezRafael Dias
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (20%)
2 (67%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Aysia Cortez61%
Rafael Dias 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aysia Cortez a 61% favorite over Rafael Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1545), separated by just 3 points.

Aysia Cortez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aysia Cortez finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Dias 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.