Aysia Cortez vs Sophie Lang
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Sophie Lang57%
Aysia Cortez 43%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Sophie Lang a 57% favorite over Aysia Cortez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Sophie Lang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1520, a 62-point edge.
Sophie Lang enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aysia Cortez finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Sophie Lang 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record3-0-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
64"Reach63.5"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Sophie Lang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Aysia Cortez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1548
If they lose-20→ 1500
If they win+20→ 1602
If they lose-28→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aysia CortezSophie Lang