Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayton De Paepe vs Joao Roque

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record7-2-4
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combat BrothersTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayton De PaepeNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Joao RoqueNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ayton De PaepeJoao Roque
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Submission
5 (71%)
9 (60%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayton De Paepe70%
Joao Roque 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayton De Paepe a 70% favorite over Joao Roque in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.

Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joao Roque enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Joao Roque 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.