Ayton De Paepe vs Leo Bonin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach69.7"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ayton De PaepeLeo Bonin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leo Bonin56%
Ayton De Paepe 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leo Bonin a 56% favorite over Ayton De Paepe in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ayton De Paepe's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.
Ayton De Paepe enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Leo Bonin enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ayton De Paepe finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Leo Bonin 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.