Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayumu Yamamoto vs Justin Jaynes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record17-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach68"
145 lbsWeight159 lbs
K-PlaceTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayumu YamamotoNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Justin JaynesNow 1553
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.33
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Ayumu YamamotoJustin Jaynes
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
3 (50%)
Submission
6 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayumu Yamamoto68%
Justin Jaynes 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayumu Yamamoto a 68% favorite over Justin Jaynes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Jaynes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1553), separated by just 1 points.

Ayumu Yamamoto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Jaynes 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.