Combat Edge Intelligence

Ayumu Yamamoto vs Suman Mokhtarian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record8-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
K-PlaceTeamAustralian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ayumu YamamotoNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Suman MokhtarianNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.85
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ayumu YamamotoSuman Mokhtarian
1550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
3 (50%)
Submission
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayumu Yamamoto61%
Suman Mokhtarian 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayumu Yamamoto a 61% favorite over Suman Mokhtarian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1547), separated by just 5 points.

Suman Mokhtarian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ayumu Yamamoto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Suman Mokhtarian 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.