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Combat Edge Intelligence

Azam Gaforov vs Felipe Bunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record14-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
127 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat TajikistanTeamPitbull Brothers· 1626 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Azam Gaforov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Felipe Bunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azam GaforovNow 1654
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-20→ 1634
Felipe BunesNow 1562
If they win+20→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
Not available
Strike accuracy
46%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.08
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
40%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.44

Trajectory

Azam GaforovFelipe Bunes
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
1 (6%)
Submission
9 (69%)
11 (69%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Azam Gaforov70%
Felipe Bunes 30%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Azam Gaforov a 70% favorite over Felipe Bunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Azam Gaforov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1562, a 92-point edge.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Azam Gaforov finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Bunes 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.