Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Bekoev vs Dan Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Azamat BekoevNow 1689
If they win+12→ 1701
If they lose-12→ 1677
Dan MillerNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
46%
Strike accuracy
36%
7.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
32%
Strike defense
50%
4.49
Takedown avg.
1.67
45%
Takedown accuracy
55%
80%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
1.77

Trajectory

Azamat BekoevDan Miller
170017502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
8 (40%)
Submission
9 (64%)
4 (20%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Azamat Bekoev70%
Dan Miller 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Bekoev a 70% favorite over Dan Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.

Azamat Bekoev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Azamat Bekoev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Dan Miller 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.