Azamat Bekoev vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamW4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Azamat Bekoev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Zach Reese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1705
If they lose-13→ 1681
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Azamat BekoevZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Reese57%
Azamat Bekoev 43%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 57% favorite over Azamat Bekoev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Azamat Bekoev's way (46%).
Azamat Bekoev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1664, a 30-point edge.
Azamat Bekoev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Azamat Bekoev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Zach Reese carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.