Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Bekoev vs Zach Reese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zach Reese
us

Zach Reese

“Savage”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Azamat Bekoev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Zach Reese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azamat BekoevNow 1689
If they win+10→ 1699
If they lose-14→ 1675
Zach ReeseNow 1644
If they win+18→ 1662
If they lose-14→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
46%
Strike accuracy
54%
7.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
32%
Strike defense
44%
4.49
Takedown avg.
2.80
45%
Takedown accuracy
61%
80%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Azamat BekoevZach Reese
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
8 (40%)
Submission
3 (30%)
4 (20%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Azamat Bekoev and Zach Reese within a point of even.

Azamat Bekoev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1644, a 45-point edge.

Azamat Bekoev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Azamat Bekoev finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.

Zach Reese carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.