Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Gashimov vs Ivan Menjivar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ivan Menjivar
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Ivan Menjivar

“Pride of El Salvador”

25-12-0BantamweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record25-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Ivan Menjivar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Azamat Gashimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azamat GashimovNow 1597
If they win+18→ 1615
If they lose-14→ 1583
Ivan MenjivarNow 1646
If they win+10→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
22%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
53%
Strike defense
66%
1.69
Takedown avg.
0.56
25%
Takedown accuracy
29%
0%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Azamat GashimovIvan Menjivar
160016501700201220132014

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
4 (50%)
Submission
10 (40%)
2 (25%)
Decision
6 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Azamat Gashimov53%
Ivan Menjivar 47%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Gashimov a 53% favorite over Ivan Menjivar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Menjivar's way (43%).

Ivan Menjivar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1597, a 49-point edge.

Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Azamat Gashimov finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Menjivar 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.