Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-1-0Record17-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
71"Reach81"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Azamat Murzakanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Brendson Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azamat MurzakanovNow 1779
If they win+7→ 1786
If they lose-25→ 1754
Brendson RibeiroNow 1553
If they win+25→ 1578
If they lose-7→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
56%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.91
56%
Strike defense
53%
0.68
Takedown avg.
0.85
7%
Takedown accuracy
43%
89%
Takedown defense
21%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Azamat MurzakanovBrendson Ribeiro
160017001800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (75%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
1 (6%)
Submission
7 (41%)
3 (19%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Azamat Murzakanov81%
Brendson Ribeiro 19%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Murzakanov a 81% favorite over Brendson Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Azamat Murzakanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1553, a 226-point edge.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Azamat Murzakanov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Brendson Ribeiro 94%.

Brendson Ribeiro carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.