Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Murzakanov vs Navajo Stirling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-1-0Record11-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
71"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Azamat Murzakanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Navajo Stirling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azamat MurzakanovNow 1779
If they win+15→ 1794
If they lose-17→ 1762
Navajo StirlingNow 1754
If they win+17→ 1771
If they lose-15→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
6.24
56%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.68
Takedown avg.
0.86
7%
Takedown accuracy
0%
89%
Takedown defense
71%
0.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Azamat MurzakanovNavajo Stirling
160017001800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Navajo Stirling61%
Azamat Murzakanov 39%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 61% favorite over Azamat Murzakanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Azamat Murzakanov's way (46%).

Azamat Murzakanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1754, a 25-point edge.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Azamat Murzakanov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 64%.

Navajo Stirling carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.