Combat Edge Intelligence

Azamat Murzakanov vs Reinier de Ridder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-1-0Record22-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
71"Reach 78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamCombat Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Azamat MurzakanovNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763
Reinier de RidderNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1722 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
56%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
56%
Strike defense
47%
0.68
Takedown avg.
2.56
7%
Takedown accuracy
10%
89%
Takedown defense
40%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Azamat MurzakanovReinier de Ridder
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (75%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
1 (6%)
Submission
13 (59%)
3 (19%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Reinier de Ridder63%
Azamat Murzakanov 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Reinier de Ridder a 63% favorite over Azamat Murzakanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Azamat Murzakanov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1779 vs 1770), separated by just 9 points.

Azamat Murzakanov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.

Reinier de Ridder carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.