Azat Maksum vs Charles Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record20-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Octagon Fight TeamTeamMurcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Azat Maksum carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1686
If they lose-14→ 1654
If they win+11→ 1718
If they lose-13→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Azat MaksumCharles Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson58%
Azat Maksum 42%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 58% favorite over Azat Maksum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1668, a 39-point edge.
Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Azat Maksum finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Charles Johnson 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.