Combat Edge Intelligence

Azat Maksum vs Charles Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record20-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Octagon Fight TeamTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Azat Maksum carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Azat MaksumNow 1668
If they win+18→ 1686
If they lose-14→ 1654
Charles JohnsonNow 1706
If they win+11→ 1717
If they lose-13→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
4.54
29%
Strike accuracy
50%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
52%
Strike defense
55%
2.33
Takedown avg.
0.47
28%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
67%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Azat MaksumCharles Johnson
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (20%)
5 (33%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Johnson81%
Azat Maksum 19%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 81% favorite over Azat Maksum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1668, a 38-point edge.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Azat Maksum finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Charles Johnson 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.