Combat Edge Intelligence

Azat Maksum vs Lone’er Kavanagh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'4"
70"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Octagon Fight TeamTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Azat MaksumNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Lone’er KavanaghNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
29%
Strike accuracy
50%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
52%
Strike defense
54%
2.33
Takedown avg.
1.12
28%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
83%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Azat MaksumLone’er Kavanagh
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
6 (40%)
Submission
1 (10%)
5 (33%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Lone’er Kavanagh60%
Azat Maksum 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 60% favorite over Azat Maksum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1671), separated by just 3 points.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Azat Maksum finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.

Azat Maksum and Lone’er Kavanagh share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.

Azat Maksum carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Charles Johnson
LossKO · 2025