Combat Edge Intelligence

Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Octagon Fight TeamTeamRegiment Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Azat MaksumNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Mitch RaposoNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
1.73
29%
Strike accuracy
37%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
52%
Strike defense
61%
2.33
Takedown avg.
2.54
28%
Takedown accuracy
38%
86%
Takedown defense
62%
0.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Azat MaksumMitch Raposo
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
6 (40%)
Submission
3 (27%)
5 (33%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Mitch Raposo56%
Azat Maksum 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Raposo a 56% favorite over Azat Maksum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1669), separated by just 5 points.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mitch Raposo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Azat Maksum finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Raposo 64%.

Azat Maksum carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.