Azevedo Junior vs Quentin Arola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record7-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach-
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Azevedo TeamTeamTactical Fight Team· 1556 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Azevedo Junior is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Quentin Arola carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1564
If they lose-27→ 1516
If they win+18→ 1518
If they lose-14→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Azevedo JuniorQuentin Arola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Quentin Arola59%
Azevedo Junior 41%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Quentin Arola a 59% favorite over Azevedo Junior in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Azevedo Junior's way (44%).
Azevedo Junior holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1543 to 1500, a 43-point edge.
Quentin Arola enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Azevedo Junior finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Quentin Arola 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.