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Combat Edge Intelligence

Badr Medkouri vs Don Frye

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Frye
us

Don Frye

“The Predator”

20-9-1HeavyweightGC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record20-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
-Reach73"
254 lbsWeight210 lbs
Team MFCTeamTeam Frye

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badr MedkouriNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Don FryeNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
Not available
Strike accuracy
65%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
Not available
Strike defense
37%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.91
Not available
Takedown accuracy
57%
Not available
Takedown defense
45%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Badr MedkouriDon Frye
15501600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (53%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Don Frye63%
Badr Medkouri 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Don Frye a 63% favorite over Badr Medkouri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Badr Medkouri's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Don Frye enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Badr Medkouri finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Don Frye 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.