Combat Edge Intelligence

Badr Medkouri vs Gabriel Gonzaga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record17-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
-Reach42,0"
254 lbsWeight264 lbs
Team MFCTeamTeam Link

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badr MedkouriNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Gabriel GonzagaNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.10

Trajectory

Badr MedkouriGabriel Gonzaga
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (41%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Badr Medkouri62%
Gabriel Gonzaga 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Badr Medkouri a 62% favorite over Gabriel Gonzaga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Badr Medkouri finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Gonzaga 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.