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Combat Edge Intelligence

Badr Medkouri vs Yorgan De Castro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
-Reach74"
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team MFCTeamRegiment Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badr MedkouriNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Yorgan De CastroNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
78%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Badr MedkouriYorgan De Castro
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Badr Medkouri54%
Yorgan De Castro 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Badr Medkouri a 54% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1588), separated by just 3 points.

Badr Medkouri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Badr Medkouri finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.