Badreddine Diani vs Hazem Kayyali
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record3-0-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rebels TeamTeam
What's at stake
Badreddine Diani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Hazem Kayyali carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1639
If they lose-17→ 1607
If they win+25→ 1631
If they lose-23→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Badreddine DianiHazem Kayyali
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Badreddine Diani52%
Hazem Kayyali 48%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Badreddine Diani a 52% favorite over Hazem Kayyali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Badreddine Diani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1606, a 18-point edge.
Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Hazem Kayyali enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Badreddine Diani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Hazem Kayyali 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.