Combat Edge Intelligence

Badreddine Diani vs Lance Benoist

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record7-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rebels TeamTeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badreddine DianiNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Lance BenoistNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Badreddine DianiLance Benoist
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (18%)
Submission
4 (57%)
7 (64%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Badreddine Diani60%
Lance Benoist 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Badreddine Diani a 60% favorite over Lance Benoist in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1622), separated by just 2 points.

Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Badreddine Diani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Lance Benoist 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.