Combat Edge Intelligence

Badreddine Diani vs Patrick Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record13-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Badreddine DianiNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Patrick RiveraNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1452 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Badreddine DianiPatrick Rivera
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
2 (18%)
Submission
5 (38%)
7 (64%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Badreddine Diani and Patrick Rivera within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Badreddine Diani enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Patrick Rivera enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Badreddine Diani finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Rivera 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.