Baergeng Jieleyisi vs Gustavo Lopez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record16-8-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'5"
70"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Wanshi Fight GymTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Baergeng JieleyisiGustavo Lopez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Baergeng Jieleyisi59%
Gustavo Lopez 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Baergeng Jieleyisi a 59% favorite over Gustavo Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1641), separated by just 0 points.
Baergeng Jieleyisi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gustavo Lopez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Baergeng Jieleyisi finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Lopez 94%.
Baergeng Jieleyisi carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.