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Combat Edge Intelligence

Baergeng Jieleyisi vs Islam Geroev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach-
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baergeng JieleyisiNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Islam GeroevNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
1.90
Takedown avg.
Not available
71%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.38
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Baergeng JieleyisiIslam Geroev
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
10 (56%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Islam Geroev71%
Baergeng Jieleyisi 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Islam Geroev a 71% favorite over Baergeng Jieleyisi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1648), separated by just 1 points.

Baergeng Jieleyisi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Baergeng Jieleyisi finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Islam Geroev 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.