Bagama Nikabagamaev vs Marcus McGhee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
147 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club SamsonTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bagama NikabagamaevMarcus McGhee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus McGhee67%
Bagama Nikabagamaev 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 67% favorite over Bagama Nikabagamaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1718), separated by just 1 points.
Bagama Nikabagamaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcus McGhee enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bagama Nikabagamaev finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.