Combat Edge Intelligence

Bagama Nikabagamaev vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-1-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club SamsonTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bagama NikabagamaevNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Rafael FizievNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.83
Not available
Takedown accuracy
67%
Not available
Takedown defense
90%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bagama NikabagamaevRafael Fiziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
13 (81%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (19%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael Fiziev74%
Bagama Nikabagamaev 26%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 74% favorite over Bagama Nikabagamaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1731), separated by just 1 points.

Bagama Nikabagamaev finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.