Combat Edge Intelligence

Bagdos Olzhabay vs Dedrek Sanders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68.9"Reach70"
149 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bagdos OlzhabayNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Dedrek SandersNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Bagdos OlzhabayDedrek Sanders
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
9 (53%)
Submission
2 (17%)
5 (29%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders62%
Bagdos Olzhabay 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 62% favorite over Bagdos Olzhabay in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bagdos Olzhabay's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1643), separated by just 0 points.

Bagdos Olzhabay enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dedrek Sanders enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Bagdos Olzhabay finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Dedrek Sanders 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.