Bao Quach vs Emanuel Arzola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-10-1Record4-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'3"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
144 lbsWeight145 lbs
Rounders MMATeamTeam Steve
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bao QuachEmanuel Arzola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Emanuel Arzola66%
Bao Quach 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Emanuel Arzola a 66% favorite over Bao Quach in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bao Quach's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1602), separated by just 0 points.
Bao Quach enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Emanuel Arzola enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Bao Quach finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Emanuel Arzola 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.