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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bao Quach vs TJ Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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TJ Brown
us

TJ Brown

“Downtown”

20-12-0LightweightRDC

1602Solid

Tale of the tape

19-10-1Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'3"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
144 lbsWeight156 lbs
Rounders MMATeamWestside MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bao QuachNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590
TJ BrownNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.41
Not available
Takedown accuracy
58%
Not available
Takedown defense
37%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Bao QuachTJ Brown
16002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
4 (21%)
Submission
12 (60%)
10 (53%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

TJ Brown70%
Bao Quach 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes TJ Brown a 70% favorite over Bao Quach in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bao Quach's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1602), separated by just 0 points.

Bao Quach enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bao Quach finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.