Combat Edge Intelligence

Baris Adiguzel vs Dustin Kimura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamGracie Technics

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baris AdiguzelNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Dustin KimuraNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
21%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.93
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.18

Trajectory

Baris AdiguzelDustin Kimura
155016001650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (10%)
Submission
8 (73%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Baris Adiguzel60%
Dustin Kimura 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Baris Adiguzel a 60% favorite over Dustin Kimura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.

Dustin Kimura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Baris Adiguzel finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Kimura 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.