Baris Adiguzel vs Gustavo Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Leste
What's at stake
Gustavo Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Baris Adiguzel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Baris AdiguzelGustavo Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo Oliveira54%
Baris Adiguzel 46%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Oliveira a 54% favorite over Baris Adiguzel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Gustavo Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1664, a 21-point edge.
Gustavo Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Baris Adiguzel finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Oliveira 92%.
Baris Adiguzel and Gustavo Oliveira share 1 common opponent: Anas Azizoun.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinTKO (Punches) · 2024
WinKO (Spinning Back Elbow) · 2025