Combat Edge Intelligence

Baris Adiguzel vs Santiago Luna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Boxing Squad· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1683 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baris AdiguzelNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Santiago LunaNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
8.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
TBD
Strike defense
72%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Baris AdiguzelSantiago Luna
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
1 (10%)
Submission
4 (50%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Baris Adiguzel and Santiago Luna within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Baris Adiguzel finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.

Santiago Luna carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.